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Farmer/Pastoralist conflicts expected to increase in frequency

When climate change and growing populations combine forces, pastoralists have a harder and harder time finding viable grazing places their livestock. This is due to erratic rain patterns as well as farming areas encroaching on former grazing grounds. These all too common conflicts may be taking a new turn in the not too distant future.

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Nigeria experiments with new land ownership process

The issue of private property and land ownership is a big area in need of intervention for the purposes of national development.

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Customary and modern land use laws increasingly clashing

“In the face of modernity; there is an obvious clash between the communities and the modern land use laws. On one hand, West Africa is fast becoming an ‘urban region’ with the boundaries between the ‘rurality’ and ‘urbanity’ overlapping and creating ‘periurban’ areas. Also, rich resources such as crude oil, diamond and gold are being discovered deep in the rural areas, thus necessitating the adoption of the statutory system even in the rural areas.

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Indigenous Rights Largely Ignored in Latin America

In large part due to the simple lack of "Rule of Law" in Latin American countries, as well as to the minority status of indigenous people and their proximity to unexploited natural resources, their rights are being ignored by state and market actors alike. This is despite the ratification of ILO Convention 169 by the majority of South American countries.

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Sources:

FORO, October 2010, pg. 4: http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/FORO_Oct2010.pdf#page=4

C169, Indigenous and tribal people convention, OIT. Available: http://www.ilo.org/ilolex/english/convdisp1.htm [accessed: October, 2010]. See, too: Consejo de Derechos Available: http://www.servindi.org/pdf/A_HRC_EMRIP_2010_2_sp%5B1%5D.pdf [accessed: October, 2010].

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Rural displacement impacts literacy rates

As rural indigenous populations are being displaced by large-scale mono-culture agriculture in Bangladesh, the country can expect a drop in their literacy rates:

2.7525
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Sources:

Strategic Foresight Group, Asian Horizons, Issue No: 8, October 2010. Page 6.

http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/SFG_Oct2010.pdf#page=6

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Indigenous Land Rights Ignored in Bangladesh

The systematic displacement of indigenous people in Bangladesh due to lack of legal recognition of their land rights will lead to further strife in the coming decade:

"Indigenous tribal groups in Bangladesh are slowly being displaced from their traditional land, which will not only lead to rise in poverty among the ethnic tribal groups but could result in the rise of ethnic conflicts in the coming years.

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Sources:

Strategic Foresight Group, Asian Horizons, Issue No: 8, October 2010. Page 6.

http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/SFG_Oct2010.pdf#page=6

‘Indigenous people press for rights’. The Daily Star. 10 August 2010.
<http://www.thedailystar.net/newDesign/news-details.php?nid=150151> • Gain, P. ‘The Garo Women In Bangladesh: Life Of A Forest People Without A Forest’.
Indigenous People. 2010. <http://indigenouspeoplesissues.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=4413:the- garo-women-in-bangladesh-life-of-a-forest-people-without-a-forest&catid=63:central-asia- indigenous-peoples&Itemid=85>

‘Recognise adversities faced by tribal women’ The Daily Star. 25 June 2010. <http://www.thedailystar.net/newDesign/news-details.php?nid=144121>

‘Deforestation causes gradual extinction of Garo, Koch’. The New Age. 17 May 2009 <http://www.newagebd.com/2009/may/17/front.html>

‘Bangladesh’s ethnic minorities lose land: survey’. Thaindian News. 11 May 2008. <http://www.thaindian.com/newsportal/uncategorized/bangladeshs-ethnic-minorities-lose-land- survey_10047432.html>

‘Modhupur has now become Green Desert’. 13 December 2009. <http://www.prothom- alo.com/detail/date/2010-08-24/news/24977> (Bangla)

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Land Concentration Reconsidered in Latin America

Gonzalo Alcalde notes that in the past year, public discussions of land concentration in Latin America are becoming increasingly common, with possible policy implications in the near future:

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Sources:

FORO, October 2010, page 3. http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/FORO_Oct2010.pdf#page=3

See: El Comercio (2010), “El ministerio de agricultura propone una refoerma agraria”, Available: http://www.elcomercio.com/2010-08- 25/Noticias/Pais/Noticias-Secundarias/EC100825P16TIERRAS.aspx [accessed: October, 2010].

See: Eguren, F. (2010) “Cuarenta mil hectareas ¿es poco o mucho?” Available: http://www.larepublica.pe/actualidad-economicafernando- eguren/29/04/2010/40-mil-hectareas-es-poco-o-mucho [Accessed: October, 2010].
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