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Forecasting cholera months in advance by looking at weather data

“Public health officials may be able to forecast cholera outbreaks months in advance by looking at temperature and rainfall data, according to a study. Researchers looked at cholera outbreaks in Zanzibar and found that they correlated with increases in temperature and rainfall. They calculated that a one degree Celsius increase — from 23 to 24 degrees — was followed by a doubling of cholera cases four months later. And a 20 centimetre increase of rainfall resulted in a 1.6 fold increase in cholera cases two months later.

2.505
Average: 2.5 (2 votes)
 

Sources:

South Africa Node of the Millenium Project July 2011 pg. 10
http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/SouthernAfricaHorizonScan_July2011.pdf#page=10

http://www.scidev.net/en/news/weather- data-may-predict-cholera-outbreaks-1.html

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India records one-tenth of world’s malaria cases

"According to the WHO, in 2009, India recorded 25 million cases of malaria and 30,000 resulting deaths. Ten years ago, the most commonly used anti-malaria drug stopped being effective and forced countries to switch to a second-line treatment. The Public Health Foundation of India has found that only 40% of government hospitals are using the second line treatment."

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Mobile Phones Catch Epidemics Earlier in South Asia

The Real‐time Biosurveillance Program (RTBP) was launched in India
and Sri Lanka by by LRNEasia, the Indian Institute of Technology —Madras (IITM), Carnegie Mellon University's Auton Lab, the University of Alberta and the International Development Research Center (IDRC), "to test the potential of using mobile phones in health data collection.

3
Average: 3 (1 vote)
 

Sources:

Intellecap May 2011 page 1, 2, 3:
http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/Intellecap_May2011.pdf#page=1

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Algae may hold the key to reducing Dengue deaths and speed recovery

"Indonesian scientists have recently found that chlorella extract can accelerate the process of healing and reduces the risk of death in dengue patients. If a breakthrough is achieved in the use of chlorella extract to aid the recovery of dengue patients.

0
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Sources:

Strategic Foresight Group, April 2010, pg. 14
http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/SFG_Apr2010.pdf#page=14

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Polio gets Cultural in Northern India

Despite polio being virtually wiped out in the global south in the 1950s and many major international health programs working to eradicate polio throughout the world since the late 1980s, it is still prevalent in some areas. Northern India is currently experiencing increased incidents of infection and fear a larger outbreak due to lack of proper vaccination practices. Among other things, there is an apparent cultural element to the current situation.

0
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Sources:

Strategic Foresight Group, July 2010, pg. 2
http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/SFG_July2010.pdf#page=2

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Polio gets Cultural in Northern India

Despite polio being virtually wiped out in the global south in the 1950s and many major international health programs working to eradicate polio throughout the world since the late 1980s, it is still prevalent in some areas. Northern India is currently experiencing increased incidents of infection and fear a larger outbreak due to lack of proper vaccination practices. Among other things, there is an apparent cultural element to the current situation.

0
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Sources:

Strategic Foresight Group, July 2010, pg. 2
http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/SFG_July2010.pdf#page=2

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Resources needed to contain Wild Polio Virus in India

The Strategic Foresight Group writes,

Despite India’s strident attempts to eradicate polio entirely, it continues to report cases of the disease. In the last two years, a marked increase of reported cases, particularly originating from certain parts of the country, has caused concern about the resurgence of the disease. A majority of these cases are reported from Western Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.

2.01
Average: 2 (1 vote)
 

Sources:

The Strategic Foresight Group, July 2010, page 2: http://newsletters.clearsignals.org/SFG_July2010.pdf#page=2

‘AFP Surveillance Bulletin – India’. National Polio Surveillance Project, Government of India. 22
May 2010. <http://www.npspindia.org/bulletin.pdf> (Map Source)

‘Polio. Microbiology Procedure. <http://www.microbiologyprocedure.com/viral-diseases-ofhuman/
polio.htm>

‘Vaccinated children spreading polio in north India’. Central Chronicle. 10 May 2010.
<http://www.centralchronicle.com/viewnews.asp?articleID=35117>

Jeffrey, Patricia & Jeffrey, Roger. ‘Polio in North India: What’s Next?’. Economic and Political Weekly. Vol. XLV No. 15. 10 April 2010.
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